Foreign Policy

The Real Risk of Cyber Warfare

  • By
  • Tim Maurer
February 21, 2013

This week, the New York Times published allegations tying the Chinese military to hacking against the United States. The coverage is the latest of a series of articles exposing governmental hacking generally. Last year, the New York Times reported that the U.S.

Issues:

Will A New Policy Help Iranian Citizens Lift the "Electronic Curtain"?

  • By
  • Danielle Kehl
  • Tim Maurer
June 5, 2013

In the past, it’s been difficult for Iranian activists to access critical communications tools – but not because of the Iranian regime. Instead, it was due (at least in part) to confusing sanctions regulations which made it legally and politically risky for American companies to export their products. The good news: The U.S. government decided to do something about those convoluted regulations.

How Many Guantanamo Detainees "Return to the Battlefield"?

May 7, 2013

As of May 7, 2013, 603 Guantanamo prisoners have been released or transferred abroad. Of those 603 we have identified 53 who are either confirmed to be or suspected of engaging in militant activities against either the U.S. or non-U.S. targets. We have placed them in the following categories:

Category 1: GTMO detainees confirmed to be engaging in militant activities against U.S. targets.

TOTAL: 17, 2.8%

Category 2: GTMO detainees suspected of engaging in militant activities against U.S. targets

Drone Wars

April 24, 2013

The CIA drone program began quietly under President George W. Bush with one strike in Yemen in 2002, and then a smattering of strikes in Pakistan between 2004 and 2007 before a more sustained campaign in 2008. During his two terms in office, Bush authorized a total of 48 strikes in Pakistan.

After the Withdrawal

March 21, 2013

This past Saturday, March 16, 2013 marked an extraordinary moment in Pakistan’s history, as this is the first time that a civilian government has served its entire five-year term (from 2008 to 2013). And, for the first time in its history, the Pakistani military appears both unwilling and unable to mount a coup against any civilian government. The military has mounted four coups since Pakistan’s independence in 1947.

The Conflict in Syria

  • By
  • Brian Fishman,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Radha Iyengar, RAND Corp.
March 19, 2013

This paper concludes that the most likely medium-run end state to the conflict in Syria is de facto partition of the country into a region controlled by the current regime and another region divided among various rebel factions. Of the potential end states analyzed here, de facto partition is not only the most likely, it is also the worst for U.S. interests. The analysis is based on a series of decision matrices that are standard in the Multi-Attribute Decision Making approach, a method of systematically comparing objectives across a range of national interests.

The Sidebar: The Key to Sanctions and America's Wealth Gulf

March 8, 2013
Reniqua Allen and Hannah Emple explain how and why America's racial wealth gap became a gulf. Tara Maller reveals what makes sanctions a success - or failure - and what she expects from the ones targeting North Korea and Iran. Elizabeth Weingarten hosts.

The Sidebar: The Law of Drones and Relaxation

February 15, 2013
Rosa Brooks scrutinizes the leaked Justice Department memo that aims to provide legal rationale for the administration's drone program. Brigid Schulte introduces us to surprising research on how to be happier, healthier and more productive. Elizabeth Weingarten hosts.

India-Pakistan Trade Relations

  • By Mohsin Khan, Senior Fellow, Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East, Atlantic Council
January 29, 2013

One of the more significant recent economic developments in South Asia was the revival of trade talks between India and Pakistan in 2011. A question frequently raised is why India and Pakistan trade so little with each other despite the existence of common history, language, culture, and long borders. Economic theory and evidence from around the world would predict that trade between the two largest economies in South Asia would be far greater than its current level of around $2.5 billion.

Enhancing India-Pakistan Trade

  • By Nisha Taneja, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER), New Delhi
January 29, 2013

The trade normalization process between India and Pakistan will undoubtedly open new trade opportunities. This study assesses trade possibilities between the two countries, examines the physical and regulatory impediments to realizing the trade potential, and suggests how the trade potential can be realized. The main findings and recommendations are summarized below.

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